Trading glossary
ForexCommand's forex dictionary: each term explained in one line, with a link to its full explainer. From central banks to Smart Money, from our own indicators to the market's legends. 344 terms
A
A Dutch bank born from the merger of Algemene Bank Nederland and Amsterdam-Rotterdam Bank. Its research on European currencies appears in the daily roundups.
Accumulation/Distribution (A/D): a running total that adds each bar's volume weighted by where the bar closes within its range: all of it on a close at the high, all of it subtracted on a close at the low, nothing at the midpoint. On a spot forex chart, that volume is tick volume.
The ADP National Employment Report: a monthly estimate of US private-sector job creation from the research institute of ADP, the payroll-processing company. It usually comes out on the Wednesday of the same week as the official nonfarm payrolls.
Read explanation →AI agentFundamentalsAn AI agent is a language model wired to tools and a loop, so it can act without being asked each step. It can place trades on its own — which is exactly why it can amplify a mistake faster than you can stop it.
Read explanation →AI co-pilotAIAn LLM does not trade for you — it is an information layer. What is it genuinely good for? The line you cannot cross and the question that actually matters.
Read explanation →AI privacyFundamentalsWhen you paste your strategy, journal or positions into a cloud AI, that data leaves your computer and lives on someone else’s servers. Here is what actually happens to it — and when to use a local model instead.
Read explanation →AI prompts for tradingAIUsing AI prompts for trading research involves asking specific questions or giving instructions (prompts) to large language models (LLMs) to gather, summarize, and analyze…
Read explanation →AI sentiment analysisAIAI sentiment analysis in trading uses artificial intelligence, often leveraging large language models (LLMs), to process and understand the prevailing emotional tone – whether…
Read explanation →AI trading botAIAlgorithmic trading utilizes predefined rules to automatically execute trades based on specific market conditions, while AI trading bots leverage machine learning and large…
Read explanation →AI trading signalsFundamentalsA legitimate signal service shows a verified, third-party track record with drawdowns and never guarantees returns. A scam hides behind a black-box "proprietary AI" and cherry-picked screenshots. Here is the checklist.
Read explanation →Andrew KriegerLegendsThe 1987 legend who shorted the New Zealand dollar with a position bigger than the country's money supply — and what it really teaches about currency strength, liquidity and leverage.
Read explanation →Australia and New Zealand Banking Group. In the calendar it appears mostly through its ANZ Business Outlook survey, a New Zealand business confidence indicator.
Australian Securities and Investments Commission, Australia's markets regulator.
A 51-pip median day, an Asian morning busier than the London open, and a 0.89 correlation with NZD/USD. Measured on 521 days of our own price history.
Read explanation →aussieFundamentalsThe Australian dollar is the 'aussie' — plain slang, no coin story. What's interesting is that it's the market's risk barometer, tied to iron ore, China and the carry trade.
Read explanation →Average True RangeFundamentalsAverage True Range measures how much a market typically moves — a volatility read that's one of the most practical tools for sizing positions and placing stops.
Read explanation →B
backtestingFundamentalsTesting a strategy against historical data before risking real money. In MetaTrader 5 the Strategy Tester runs it on real or generated ticks, and the tick model can change the result.
Read explanation →Bank of CanadaCentral banksThe BoC sets the rate behind the Canadian dollar, and it is the one major central bank whose inflation target is renewed by agreement with the government every five years.
Read explanation →Bank of EnglandCentral banksThe Bank of England sets policy for the pound — the world's oldest major central bank, and the one George Soros famously beat in 1992.
Read explanation →Banque de France, France's central bank. It belongs to the Eurosystem, and its governor sits on the Governing Council of the European Central Bank, which sets interest rates for the euro area.
The Bank of Japan is Japan's central bank — and for decades its ultra-low rates have made the yen the market's favorite funding currency.
Read explanation →A British bank. We quote it for its currency forecasts: the dollar, the Canadian dollar, the yen and the Swiss franc.
A British bank founded in 1762 that helped finance the Napoleonic Wars. Nick Leeson's hidden losses of roughly £827 million sank it in February 1995, and it was sold to ING for a single pound.
The two halves of a currency pair. The base currency is the first one, the one you buy or sell, always counted as one unit; the quote currency is the second, the one the price is measured in. In EUR/USD at 1.0850, one euro costs 1.0850 dollars. A lot is counted in the base currency and a pip is valued in the quote currency.
Read explanation →basis pointsFundamentalsA basis point is one hundredth of a percent — the unit central banks and traders use so there is never any doubt about how big a rate move really is.
Read explanation →Bureau of Economic Analysis: the US Department of Commerce agency that produces GDP, the national accounts and the monthly personal income and outlays report, which includes the PCE price index.
The Federal Reserve's qualitative report on regional and national economic conditions across its 12 districts, used by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) at each of its eight meetings a year. Markets read it for signs of price pressure and of how activity is holding up.
The spread is the gap between the buy and sell price — the built-in cost of every trade, and the reason a position starts slightly in the red the moment you open it.
Read explanation →Bill LipschutzLegendsHe turned a $12,000 inheritance into $250,000 in college — then lost it all on one trade. That loss made him one of the greatest currency traders alive.
Read explanation →Bank for International Settlements, the central banks' bank: it coordinates monetary authorities and publishes the reference triennial survey on the size of the currency market.
The Dow fell 22.6% in a day and it is still the record. The odd part: the market's fear gauge did not exist yet — 1987 is why it was built.
Read explanation →Black WednesdayFundamentals16 September 1992, the day the pound left Europe's Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) after the Bank of England failed to defend it, raising rates to 15% in a single day.
Read explanation →The window in which Federal Reserve officials stop speaking publicly about monetary policy. It begins on the second Saturday before each FOMC meeting and ends on the Thursday after it, according to the St. Louis Fed’s published schedule.
Bureau of Labor Statistics: the agency of the US Department of Labor that measures labor market activity, working conditions, price changes and productivity. It publishes the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the monthly jobs report.
Trading name of Bank of New York Mellon, a US bank whose currency flow research appears in the daily roundups.
Bank of America, a US bank. We quote its currency reads, such as the four-year extreme reached by the yen’s downtrend.
In ICT and Smart Money Concepts vocabulary, an order block that failed after a liquidity sweep: the swing that left the block first ran past the previous high or low, then price closed back through the block's swing, and the old zone is expected to work the other way round. Sources disagree on which candle marks it. On our 2021-2026 hourly data for ten forex pairs, once zone width and distance were matched, it held about as often as a mitigation block.
Read explanation →BrentGeopoliticsBrent and WTI are the two prices the whole oil market is quoted against — and the gap between them tells you what is moving global energy.
Read explanation →Bretton Woods systemFundamentalsThe 1944 system that pegged other currencies to the dollar and the dollar to gold at $35 an ounce, until 1971.
Read explanation →Brown Brothers Harriman, a global financial services firm run as a private partnership. Its currency strategists' notes on the dollar appear in our roundups.
British Summer Time, the UK clock one hour ahead of GMT. Clocks go forward at 1am on the last Sunday in March and back at 2am on the last Sunday in October.
Two animals decide the mood of every market on earth. The reason comes down to how each one attacks — and to a very old con involving bearskins.
Read explanation →A quarterly survey in which the Bank of Canada asks about 100 businesses about their sales, hiring, prices and inflation expectations. It comes out shortly before a rate decision, so markets read it as a preview of the Bank's thinking.
C
cableFundamentalsTraders call GBP/USD 'Cable' after the 1866 transatlantic telegraph that carried the rate between London and New York — still the market's most storied liquid pair.
Read explanation →can AI predict forexAIArtificial intelligence (AI) and Large Language Models (LLMs) can analyze vast amounts of forex market data, news, and sentiment to identify complex patterns and generate…
Read explanation →carry tradeFundamentalsThe Reserve Bank of New Zealand's first rate hike in three years widened the interest-rate differential at the heart of the carry trade. Here's what a hawkish RBNZ means for the NZD — and why a rising gap, not a wide one, is the real signal.
Read explanation →Carry Trade ScoreIndicatorsThe carry trade earns the interest-rate gap between two currencies — and the CTS gauges when that environment is supportive and when it is a trap.
Read explanation →The Reserve Bank of Australia's policy interest rate, the one its board raises, cuts or holds at each meeting. It matters to the Australian dollar mostly through its distance from other central banks' rates.
Chicago Board Options Exchange, the options market whose prices the VIX is calculated from.
US Central Command, the Pentagon command in charge of US military operations in the Middle East, Iran included. It appears in our texts when reports of military planning against Iran move oil and the dollar.
Central banks are independent public institutions that manage a nation's currency, monetary policy, and overall financial system, aiming to maintain price stability, promote…
Read explanation →central bank rate decisionsFundamentalsInterest rate differentials are the gravitational force of the forex market. Understanding how the Fed, ECB, and BOJ set rates — and why — is the single most important macro concept for every forex trader.
Read explanation →Contract for difference: a derivative that tracks an asset's move without owning it, and how most retail traders access currencies.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the US derivatives regulator. It requires large participants to declare positions and publishes the COT report.
ChatGPT is a language model, not a trading system — it can't place orders, see live prices, or predict a currency's next move. Here's what it genuinely helps with, and the lines you should never let it cross.
Read explanation →Citigroup, a US bank. In our texts it enters through its Mexican unit’s survey, which forecasts Banxico decisions and USD/MXN.
The entity through which futures trades are cleared and settled. It acts as the buyer to every seller and the seller to every buyer, and the margin it sets backs each position. The CFTC also calls it a clearing organization or central counterparty.
A MetaTrader 5 operation, available only on hedging accounts, that closes two opposite positions in the same symbol against each other. Each is closed at the other's opening price, so the spread is not paid a second time.
Read explanation →Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the venue where the currency futures covered by the COT report trade.
Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores, Spain's securities and markets supervisor. It applies the European product rules in Spain — among them the retail ban on binary options.
A US federal holiday on the second Monday of October. US stock exchanges stay open, but the US bond market closes, so liquidity in dollar markets is thinner than usual.
A German bank headquartered in Frankfurt. We quote its notes on the euro, the Chinese yuan and crude oil.
The official count of who holds what in US currency futures. The CFTC publishes it every Friday with data from the preceding Tuesday. What does each category measure, how do you read an extreme, and how much delay does it really carry?
Read explanation →The Conference Board, a nonprofit think tank and business membership organization. It publishes the US Consumer Confidence Index and the Leading Economic Indicators.
Two monthly surveys ask American households how they feel about the economy. One of them carries the inflation-expectations number the Federal Reserve reads most closely.
Read explanation →Consumer Price IndexEconomic calendarThe Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a key economic indicator that measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods…
Read explanation →contract sizeRisk & moneyThe number of units of a currency, commodity or other asset in one lot of a symbol, in MetaTrader 5's own definition. On currency pairs it is 100,000 units of the base currency; our calculators use 100 ounces for a lot of gold and 5,000 for silver, but brokers can set their own, so check the symbol's specification.
Read explanation →contrarian signalIndicatorsFundamental, technical and sentiment analysis answer different questions. We read one real session through all three: EUR/USD on US inflation day.
Read explanation →copy tradingRisk & moneyCopy trading automatically mirrors another trader's trades in your account. You keep control of your capital, but the risk — and the losses — stay yours.
Read explanation →core inflationEconomic calendarInflation measured without the most volatile prices. In the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), core leaves out food and energy, about a fifth of the basket, while other countries define it differently. Central banks watch it because a big food or energy move is not necessarily followed by another, so core tracks the trend better than headline inflation, which counts the whole basket.
Read explanation →cost of tradingFundamentalsThree costs, one bill, charged at three different moments. What does one standard lot of EUR/USD held overnight really cost, and which of the three takes over after night two?
Read explanation →The rule that the interest-rate differential between two currencies should equal the gap between their forward and spot exchange rates. The BIS calls it the closest thing to a physical law in international finance; a 2016 BIS paper found it had not held since the 2007-08 crisis.
Two core inflation measures published by the Bank of Canada, alongside a third, CPI-common. CPI-trim excludes the 20% of weighted monthly price changes at both the bottom and the top of the distribution, so it always removes 40% of the basket; CPI-median is the price change at the 50th percentile, by basket weight.
A swap of two currencies over a longer period than an FX swap, used mainly to manage longer-term funding needs across currencies and to hedge currency risk. Because of those longer maturities it trades far less: about 2% of foreign exchange turnover in the BIS 2025 survey.
Commodity Trading Advisor, a registered manager trading futures for clients, usually following trends. The COT report groups them under leveraged funds.
Opening two positions can feel like diversifying. With correlated pairs, you have often just doubled the same bet — and the same risk. Here is how to see it.
Read explanation →currency heatmapIndicatorsThree questions decide whether an entry starts with a fair chance. A heatmap answers them per pair: scheduled releases, movement against normal and the crowded side.
Read explanation →currency interventionCentral banksCurrency intervention is when a government or central bank buys or sells its own currency to move its price — a rare, sudden force that can reverse a trend in minutes.
Read explanation →The broadest measure of a country's transactions with the rest of the world: trade in goods and services plus income and transfers. A deficit means the country spends more abroad than it earns there, and foreign money has to finance the gap.
Comissão de Valores Mobiliários, Brazil's securities markets regulator.
Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission, the financial regulator of Cyprus. As an EU supervisor, the European retail rules, leverage caps and the bonus ban among them, apply to the firms it licenses.
D
A Danish bank headquartered in Copenhagen. We quote its research team on central banks, currencies and equities.
DBS Bank, a Singaporean bank. The initials come from its original name, Development Bank of Singapore; today the firm is called simply DBS.
De-dollarization is the slow effort by some countries to trade and save in currencies other than the US dollar — and it matters because the dollar sits on one side of most forex pairs.
Read explanation →deepfakeFundamentalsAI can generate convincing fake headlines, images and audio, and markets react in milliseconds — so a fake can spike a currency for minutes before it is debunked. Chasing that spike is the trap.
Read explanation →Dodd-Frank Act: the 2010 US financial reform. Since 16 July 2011 it has barred offering retail clients leveraged commodity transactions off a regulated exchange, which rules out leveraged spot gold and silver.
The dollar sits on one side of about 89% of all currency trades — even in pairs that do not include it. Why, and what does it mean for reading strength?
Read explanation →dot plotCentral banksThe dot plot is the Federal Reserve's chart of where each official expects interest rates to go — a rare peek at a central bank's own forecast, and a frequent market mover.
Read explanation →The Dow Jones Industrial Average, a US stock index. On 19 October 1987, Black Monday, it lost 22.6% in one session, still its largest single-day percentage fall.
Drawdown represents the peak-to-trough decline in a trading account over a specific period, measuring the percentage loss from its highest equity point to its lowest before a new…
Read explanation →DXYIndicatorsUS Dollar Index, the index measuring the dollar against a basket of major currencies.
Read explanation →E
Electronic Broking Services, one of the interbank platforms where large banks trade currencies with each other.
The European Central Bank's record of a monetary policy meeting, published about four weeks after the decision. Like the Fed's minutes, markets read it for how divided the Governing Council was and where rates go next.
Electronic communication network. In US stock market rules, a system that shows orders to third parties and lets them trade against them. In retail forex it is a broker's label for routing orders to a network of liquidity providers, not a licence category.
Read explanation →economic sanctionsGeopoliticsIn 2022 a currency lost close to a third of its value in days — not because of its economy, but because of a political decision. Here is how sanctions hit a currency, and why the effect is not always what it looks like.
Read explanation →Eastern European Time (UTC+2) and Eastern European Summer Time (UTC+3). Some MT5 brokers, including the one that feeds our data, run their servers on it, which puts their midnight on the New York close for most of the year.
The rate the New York Fed publishes each business day as the volume-weighted median of overnight federal funds trades. Fed funds futures settle on its monthly average.
US Energy Information Administration: the US agency that collects, analyses and publishes energy data, from production, stocks and demand to trade and prices, including OPEC output and spare capacity.
A truce limited to attacks on energy infrastructure, such as power plants, refineries and pipelines, rather than a full ceasefire. In October 2026 President Trump said Russia and Ukraine had agreed to one, without giving details; oil fell on the news and climbed back as doubts about the truce grew.
Exchange Rate Mechanism, the European system that kept member currencies within narrow bands against one another.
European Securities and Markets Authority, the EU markets supervisor. Among other things it sets retail leverage caps.
A 64-pip median day, 61% of the range inside four hours, and a 0.80 correlation with GBP/USD. Measured on 521 days of our own price history.
Read explanation →European Central BankCentral banksThe ECB sets monetary policy for the euro — the second most-traded currency — across 20 countries, which makes it uniquely complex and uniquely important.
Read explanation →MetaTrader's name for a trading robot: a program written in MQL5 that performs trading operations on its own. Check which unit its inputs use, pips or points.
F
failure swingSmart Money (SMC)In ICT and Smart Money Concepts vocabulary, a swing that tries to extend the move but falls short of the previous high or low. If price then breaks structure the other way, the order block it leaves behind is called a mitigation block; had the swing run past that extreme first, it would be a breaker block.
Read explanation →An analyst's estimate of where a currency pair should trade given drivers such as interest-rate spreads; a price far from it is read as stretched. On 16 October 2026 Scotiabank put USD/CAD fair value near 1.4140, close to the market price.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is one type of imbalance: a three-candle pattern where rapid price movement leaves an unfilled space on the chart. This gap, between the wick of…
Read explanation →Financial Conduct Authority, the United Kingdom's financial regulator.
Futures commission merchant: the broker through which you trade futures. In the CFTC definition, it accepts orders for futures traded on an exchange and accepts payment from, or extends credit to, the clients whose orders it takes.
Forex Dealer Member: under NFA Bylaw 306, a member of the NFA that is, or offers to be, the counterparty to forex transactions. In the US it may not carry opposite positions in a retail customer's account.
Futures that settle on the average effective federal funds rate of their month, priced at 100 minus that rate, so they show the rate path the market expects. Tools such as CME Group’s FedWatch turn their prices into odds for each Fed meeting.
Read explanation →Federal ReserveCentral banksThe Federal Reserve is the US central bank — and because it sets the interest rate on the world's reserve currency, its decisions move every major forex pair.
Read explanation →The US requirement, in NFA Compliance Rule 2-43(b), that Forex Dealer Members may not carry offsetting positions in a customer account and must offset them first-in, first-out. At the customer's request, a same-size position may be offset out of that order, but only against the oldest one of that size.
Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the self-regulatory body for US securities brokers. Futures and forex brokers answer to the NFA instead.
On 7 October 2016 the pound lost almost 9% against the dollar in under 40 seconds, then won most of it back. What was the 2016 pound flash crash, and why did it happen?
Read explanation →following the moneyFundamentalsThe advice is good and almost everything sold under that name in forex cannot be seen. Spot has no central exchange, so there is no real volume and no tape. Here is the money you can actually follow: public, free and delayed.
Read explanation →FOMCEconomic calendarThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is the monetary policymaking body of the U.S. central bank, the Federal Reserve. Its "Rate Decision" is the highly anticipated…
Read explanation →The record of a Federal Open Market Committee meeting, released three weeks after the rate decision. It summarises the discussion behind the decision, and markets read it for how many officials leaned towards the next move.
Fear of missing out: entering a trade late and without a plan simply because the move already started without you.
Read explanation →forecast vs actualFundamentalsPrevious, forecast, actual — and a colored impact dot. What does each number on the economic calendar mean, and why is the 'surprise' (actual vs forecast) the one that moves price?
Read explanation →Forex Strength IndexIndicatorsThe Forex Strength Index (FSI) is ForexCommand's proprietary market-sentiment gauge, providing a single 0-100 score to measure the overall degree of fear or greed present in the…
Read explanation →A forex website whose economic calendar lists each release with its time, impact level (high, medium or low), the consensus forecast, the previous figure and the actual result.
What a central bank says about the likely future path of its policy rate, through its policy statements, press conferences and officials’ speeches.
Every pair is two currencies pulling against each other — the FOTSI oscillator isolates each one's momentum so you can see which side is driving the move.
Read explanation →Fragile FiveFundamentalsIn 2013 the Fed only hinted it would slow its bond buying, and the 10-year yield jumped from 1.66% to 2.98%. What was the taper tantrum, and why did the rupee lose 22%?
Read explanation →FrankenshockFundamentalsFor six weeks EUR/CHF barely moved. What was the Frankenshock, and why did stop-losses fail to protect anyone on 15 January 2015?
Read explanation →Federal Reserve Economic Data, the public macroeconomic database run by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
The Financial Stability Board, an international body that monitors and makes recommendations about the global financial system. A group it set up recommended widening the WM/Reuters London fix window, and WM moved from one minute to five in February 2015.
Fundamental, technical and sentiment analysis answer different questions. We read one real session through all three: EUR/USD on US inflation day.
Read explanation →The low-yielding currency traders borrow in to buy a higher-yielding one in a carry trade. The Japanese yen has long been the classic example. When the market turns risk-off, carry trades unwind: traders buy back what they borrowed, which tends to lift the funding currency.
Short for foreign exchange: the currency market.
A deal that pairs a spot exchange of two currencies with an exchange in the opposite direction at a later date, mostly within seven days. It is used mainly to manage funding in another currency and to hedge currency risk, and it was the most traded foreign exchange instrument in the BIS 2025 survey. It is not the overnight swap a broker charges or pays.
G
Group of Seven: the forum of seven large advanced economies (the United States, Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy and Canada), with the European Union also taking part. Its leaders and finance ministers coordinate on issues that move markets, such as sanctions or releases of emergency oil reserves.
Close to close it moves 55 pips against USD/JPY's 53. The beast reputation is intraday range, not displacement. A derived series, and we say so.
Read explanation →GBP/USDFundamentalsAn 80-pip median day and only 5% of sessions under 40. The same clock as EUR/USD, turned up. Measured on 521 days of our own price history.
Read explanation →Global Dairy Trade, an online auction platform for dairy commodities such as whole and skim milk powder, butter and cheddar. Auctions are held twice a month, on the first and third Tuesday, and each one publishes the GDT Price Index, a gauge of world dairy prices that kiwi traders watch because New Zealand exports dairy.
Two near-identical assets, one in a calm region and one in a tense one, trade at different prices. That gap is the geopolitical risk premium — and it moves currencies before anything happens.
Read explanation →George SorosLegendsOn one day in 1992, a single fund bet $10 billion the pound would break — and a central bank surrendered. A clean lesson in price versus fundamentals.
Read explanation →Bonds issued by the UK government, sold on behalf of HM Treasury by the Debt Management Office. Their yields set the UK's benchmark borrowing costs, and a sharp rise in them can weigh on the pound: on 7 October 2026, FXStreet reported the pound falling as 30-year gilt yields topped 6%.
A "death cross" is one of the most-quoted chart signals — and one of the most misread. Gold is giving us a textbook live example right now, so let's use it to separate the signal…
Read explanation →The US law signed on 30 January 1934 whose powers President Roosevelt used to move the official gold price from $20.67 to $35 an ounce.
A US investment bank. It appears for its trade recommendations and its notes on US inflation data.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total monetary value of all finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in a period — usually a quarter or a year.…
Read explanation →H
hawkishCentral banksHawkish monetary policy refers to a central bank's stance aimed at controlling inflation, typically by raising interest rates or tightening the money supply, while dovish policy…
Read explanation →In MetaTrader 5, the margin charged on opposite positions in the same symbol on a hedging account. It is a setting in the symbol's contract specification, and it can range from no margin at all on the locked volume to the margin of a full lot.
The other way MetaTrader 5 counts positions, added in 2016: each deal can open a position of its own, so a buy and a sell of the same symbol can be open at once. Opening the opposite position to stop a loss from growing is called a lock; it fixes the loss without closing it.
Read explanation →high-frequency tradingFundamentalsHFT competes against other machines over microseconds, not against you. What is it really, where do you feel it as retail, and why was your edge never speed?
Read explanation →Yemen's Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), which controls the capital, Sanaa, and much of the north of the country. Its attacks on Red Sea shipping and on Saudi Arabia move oil prices.
A British banking group with Asian origins. The initials come from The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, today a subsidiary of the group; the current name is just the initials.
I
ICTSmart Money (SMC)ICT refers to the educational material of Michael J. Huddleston ('The Inner Circle Trader'), a specific school within the broader SMC / price-action world that popularised terms…
Read explanation →imbalanceSmart Money (SMC)In price-action and Smart Money Concepts analysis, a stretch of the chart that price crossed so one-sidedly that it was barely traded. It is the family name: the fair value gap, the volume imbalance and the opening gap are types of imbalance, and a liquidity void is a longer one-way run that can contain several fair value gaps.
Read explanation →International Monetary Fund, the institution created at Bretton Woods in 1944 to watch exchange rates and lend to countries short of reserves.
What a country pays for the goods it buys from abroad. Because dearer imports can feed into consumer prices, markets read them as an inflation signal; in the US the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes a monthly index, which rose 1.1% in September 2026.
Inducement is a smaller, obvious high or low that lures traders to enter early and place stops, creating liquidity for price to grab before moving to the true zone, often sitting…
Read explanation →A monthly US measure of the output of factories, mines and utilities, published by the Federal Reserve. Utilities swing with the weather, so traders also watch manufacturing on its own: in September 2026 the total rose 0.7%, lifted by utilities, while manufacturing rose 0.3%.
Inflation is the rate at which prices rise and money loses value — and the single biggest driver of the central bank decisions that move every currency pair.
Read explanation →What households, businesses or markets expect inflation to be over a given horizon. We usually quote the one-year and five-year readings of the University of Michigan survey; central banks watch them because expectations can feed into actual prices and wages.
A Dutch banking group. The initials come from Internationale Nederlanden Groep, though today the official name is just the three letters.
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, created at Bretton Woods in 1944 to finance postwar reconstruction and development. It is now part of the World Bank Group.
Institute for Supply Management, whose purchasing managers' indices measure US manufacturing and services activity.
Read explanation →A monthly index of Canadian economic activity prepared by the Ivey Business School at Western University from a panel of purchasing managers across Canada. It rests on one question: whether the dollar value of their purchases was higher, the same or lower than the month before. A reading above 50 means an increase and one below 50 a decrease. It is seasonally adjusted and released on the third or fourth working day of each month at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time.
J
Jackson HoleFundamentalsThe Economic Policy Symposium the Kansas City Fed has hosted in Wyoming since 1982 — how a farming conference became the stage where central banks trail policy shifts?, and what actually moves in forex when they do?
Read explanation →The Japanese ministry that decides when to intervene in the currency market. The Bank of Japan carries out the trades as its agent, using the government's Foreign Exchange Fund Special Account. The ministry publishes the total for each month at the end of the month, and the day-by-day breakdown once a quarter.
Every candlestick sums up the fight between buyers and sellers in one shape. Learn to read its body and wicks, and the essential patterns grouped by what they signal: indecision, reversal or continuation.
Read explanation →Japanese yen weaknessCentral banksThe yen keeps sliding while Tokyo warns and the BoJ holds. That isn't a contradiction — it's a rate gap, a crowded carry trade and an intervention ceiling. Here's the framework, not the day's level.
Read explanation →Jérôme KervielFundamentalsA trader on an ordinary desk built €49.9 billion in hidden positions. Unwinding them over three days cost Société Générale €4.9 billion.
Read explanation →Jesse LivermoreLegendsHe made $100 million betting the 1929 crash would come — then lost every cent. The Boy Plunger’s real lesson isn’t timing; it’s discipline and risk.
Read explanation →Japanese Government Bond, Japan's sovereign debt.
A math professor who never read a chart hired physicists instead of traders — and never let anyone overrule them. A lesson in method, not prediction.
Read explanation →jobless claimsFundamentalsInitial Jobless Claims (IJC) is a crucial weekly economic report that tallies the number of individuals who filed for state unemployment benefits for the first time during the…
Read explanation →JOLTSEconomic calendarJob Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, the US survey of job openings and labour turnover.
Read explanation →L
leverageRisk & moneyLeverage in forex allows traders to control a much larger position in the market with a relatively small amount of their own capital, essentially borrowing funds from their…
Read explanation →In the CFTC's Traders in Financial Futures (TFF) breakdown of the COT report, the category for hedge funds and other money managers, including registered commodity trading advisors and commodity pool operators. Their positions can be outright bets or arbitrage, and the CFTC notes it cannot know that all of their activity is speculative.
The name Donald Trump gave to 2 April 2025, when he announced tariffs on almost all US trading partners: a universal 10% tariff plus higher rates for about 60 countries. Markets still use its lows as a reference point.
Liquidity is how easily you can trade without moving the price — the hidden force behind your spread, your slippage, and even where price is drawn.
Read explanation →A bank or firm that continuously quotes buy and sell prices, supplying the liquidity other traders fill against. Providers pull their quotes ahead of major releases, and depth thins at the daily rollover.
A move that runs just past an obvious high or low, triggers the stop and breakout orders clustered there, and then turns back. What separates it from a real breakout is what happens next: after a sweep, price closes back inside; after a breakout, it keeps going.
Read explanation →liquidity voidSmart Money (SMC)A run of candles moving in one direction with little trading in between, which can leave two or more fair value gaps inside it. It is wider than a single fair value gap: on our hourly data the median void measured 16.2 pips, against 7.0 for fair value gaps of 3 pips or more.
Read explanation →London fixFundamentalsThe WM/Reuters 4 p.m. benchmark exchange rate, calculated since February 2015 over a five-minute window around 16:00 London time. Funds and companies ask their banks to trade at it, so orders bunch up in those minutes, above all at month-end. On ordinary days in our 2026 one-minute data for ten pairs, the fix window had 60% more ticks than a normal hour.
Read explanation →A group of eight central banks formed in 1961 to hold gold at $35 an ounce in the London market. It collapsed in March 1968.
The Canadian dollar (CAD) is nicknamed the 'loonie' after a bird on its coin — and it trades almost in lockstep with oil, which is where the FOTSI comes in.
Read explanation →lot sizeRisk & moneyTo calculate your position size, first determine your maximum acceptable monetary risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of your account). Then, divide this…
Read explanation →M
machine learningFundamentalsMachine learning lets software learn patterns from market data instead of following rules you write by hand — powerful for analysis, but it fits the past and never understands the future.
Read explanation →margin callFundamentalsUsually not: your broker closes your positions before the account hits zero. But closing needs a price to close at, and there’s one known case where there isn’t one.
Read explanation →market fractalityFundamentalsThe chart looks like itself at every scale: a daily candle is a whole trend on the 5-minute. What is market fractality, and how do you use it to read multiple timeframes?
Read explanation →market maker modelSmart Money (SMC)The Market Maker Model, sometimes called the AMD cycle or the "Power of 3", is a conceptual narrative explaining how large institutional players often move price through three…
Read explanation →market makersFundamentalsThree labels for what a broker does with your order. Which one is yours, and why does the licence say more than the account page?
Read explanation →market orderFundamentalsMastering forex trading requires understanding three core order types: use a market order for immediate execution at the current price, a limit order to buy below or sell above…
Read explanation →market profileIndicatorsA profile that counts time instead of volume: how long price spent at each level, marking each period that touched a price (each mark is a TPO). It asks the same question as a volume profile with a different input.
Read explanation →Market Readiness ScoreIndicatorsDirection is only half the trade. Before you ask where price is going, ask whether the market is even ready to move — and learn the five factors that answer it.
Read explanation →market structureSmart Money (SMC)Market structure, in Smart Money Concepts (SMC), maps price's directional flow via swing highs and lows: an uptrend prints higher highs and higher lows; a downtrend, lower highs…
Read explanation →Medallion FundLegendsOne hedge fund returned about 66% a year for three decades — and has been closed to outsiders since 1993. What the Medallion Fund was?, and why you can't copy it?
Read explanation →MetaTrader 4, a MetaQuotes platform for trading forex, analysing markets and running Expert Advisors. MetaQuotes develops the software; it does not provide brokerage services.
Money Flow Index: an oscillator from 0 to 100 that compares the money flow (typical price times volume) of bars whose typical price rose with that of bars whose typical price fell. MetaTrader's help reads above 80 or below 20 as a possible top or bottom. On spot forex, the volume is ticks.
Malta Financial Services Authority, the financial regulator of Malta. As an EU supervisor, the European retail rules — leverage caps, the bonus ban — apply to the firms it licenses.
A worked example of how geopolitics affects forex: midterm elections do not move the dollar because of who wins, but because of whether government ends up divided. The chain runs from spending to inflation, then to rates, and only then to the exchange rate.
Read explanation →Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (2014/65/EU), the EU law under which investment firms are licensed. It lists the services a licence can cover, such as dealing on own account, and requires a public register of authorised firms.
A mitigation block is an order block that failed without a liquidity sweep: price fell short of the previous extreme, then broke structure the other way. How to spot it.
Read explanation →monetary policyCentral banksMonetary policy refers to the actions undertaken by a nation's central bank to control the money supply and credit conditions to stimulate or slow economic growth, typically by…
Read explanation →money managementRisk & moneySurvival in trading comes from how you manage risk, not from how often you predict the market correctly.
Read explanation →A US investment bank headquartered in New York. We quote its research team on currencies and markets.
The average price over the last N bars, redrawn with each new bar to smooth price. The simple (SMA) and exponential (EMA) versions differ in how quickly they turn.
Read explanation →Monetary Policy Committee, the Bank of England body that votes on the UK's official interest rate.
MetaQuotes Language 5, the programming language of MetaTrader 5, used to write technical indicators, trading robots (Expert Advisors) and utility programs.
MetaTrader 5, a trading platform offered by retail forex brokers. The broker sets each symbol's execution mode, which decides whether you see requotes or slippage.
Multilateral trading facility: under MiFID II, a system that brings together multiple third-party buying and selling interests under non-discretionary rules. Operating one is a licensed service in its own right.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, a Japanese banking group whose research on the yen we quote often.
A website where traders connect their trading accounts to track their results. Its Community Outlook publishes, pair by pair, how its users' open positions split between long and short: a sample of those accounts, not the whole market.
N
A US stock index of 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market, weighted by a modified market capitalisation. Technology companies dominate it.
One of the two ways MetaTrader 5 counts positions: one position per symbol, so a new deal on that symbol adds to it, shrinks it, closes it or reverses it. The mode is set per account, not per trade.
Read explanation →New York closeFundamentals17:00 New York time, where one forex trading day ends and the next begins: positions still open then roll over and swap is applied. Some MT5 brokers put their server's midnight there. On our 2026 one-minute data for ten pairs, the bid dropped a median 7.6 pips into the 17:00 bar on almost no trading, as the spread widened.
Read explanation →National Futures Association, the self-regulatory body for US futures and forex brokers.
One trader, one hidden account, and a bank that had financed the Napoleonic Wars — gone. The most expensive lesson in trading isn't about being right; it's about the loss you refuse to take.
Read explanation →Nicolas DarvasFundamentalsA ballroom dancer turned $25,000 into more than two million by telegram, watching only price and volume: the Darvas "box" method.
Read explanation →Nikkei 225GeopoliticsThe Nikkei 225 is Japan's benchmark stock index — the 225 biggest companies on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, and a live read on the yen that every forex trader should know.
Read explanation →A Japanese investment bank. In our texts it appears mostly for its euro-area team’s calls on the European Central Bank.
The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a crucial monthly economic indicator released by the U.S. Department of Labor, measuring the total number of paid employees in the U.S…
Read explanation →New York Stock Exchange: an organised venue with a central order book — precisely what forex does not have.
The calmest of seven major pairs in pips (48 a day) and the most volatile in percent (0.81% of its price). Measured on 521 days of our own price history.
Read explanation →O
OAT (obligation assimilable du Trésor) is the French government bond, issued with maturities from 2 to 50 years and reopened in several tranches with the same terms, which keeps each line large and liquid. The gap between the 10-year OAT yield and Germany's 10-year Bund, or a swap rate, is read as the extra premium investors demand to hold French debt.
On-Balance Volume: a running total that adds a bar's volume when price closes above the previous close and subtracts it when it closes below. On a spot forex chart, the volume it adds up is tick volume.
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation, a Singaporean bank whose currency research we quote in the daily roundups.
Official Cash Rate, New Zealand's policy interest rate, set by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, the cartel that coordinates crude oil production.
Read explanation →An imbalance between two consecutive candles whose wicks do not touch at all, so the second candle opens beyond the first one's range. In forex it appears mostly where trading has paused, such as the weekend open.
A price level written into a barrier option: if the market trades at or beyond it, the option is switched on (knock-in) or cancelled (knock-out). Barrier options cost less than standard ones, and the banks that hedge them buy or sell around the level, so the break of a large barrier can speed up a move in the spot rate.
The time at which currency options expire. The New York cut, at 10:00 New York time, is a standard one, and market news services publish each day's large expiries for it. A big expiry close to the price can keep spot contained around that level until the cut.
An order block (OB) is the last opposing candle or candle cluster before an impulsive price move that breaks market structure, marking a specific zone where institutions likely…
Read explanation →order bookFundamentalsThe live list of resting buy and sell orders for an instrument; depth of market is that list shown as a ladder. Forex has no single, consolidated one: each broker or network sees its own providers.
Read explanation →OTCFundamentalsOver the counter: bilateral trading outside an organised exchange, which is how spot currencies work.
Read explanation →An agreement to exchange two currencies on a later date at a rate fixed today, used to lock in a future exchange rate. It was 18% of foreign exchange turnover in the BIS 2025 final figures.
A backtest that looks flawless is often overfitted — the model memorised the noise of the past instead of a real edge. Here is how to spot curve-fitting before it costs you real money.
Read explanation →oversoldIndicatorsThe RSI, the stochastic and the MACD measure the strength of a move, not its direction. Learn what each one measures, the signal that actually matters (divergence), and the mistake that wrecks beginners.
Read explanation →P
Paul Tudor JonesFundamentalsIn October 1987 the Dow fell 22.6% in a single day. One fund returned 62% that month — and the reason was a chart from 1929.
Read explanation →PCEEconomic calendarPersonal Consumption Expenditures, the price index of personal spending and the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
Read explanation →petrocurrencyGeopoliticsCrude ticks up and the Canadian dollar tends to follow, almost like a reflex. It is not a coincidence — it is what makes a currency a petrocurrency. Here is the mechanism.
Read explanation →pip valueRisk & moneyA pip (percentage in point) is the smallest standardized unit of price movement in a currency pair, typically the fourth decimal place (or second for JPY pairs). Calculating pip…
Read explanation →pipetteFundamentalsA tenth of a pip: the fifth decimal on most pairs and the third on yen pairs, quoted by brokers that show one digit more than the pip. In MetaTrader 5 it is the symbol's point.
Read explanation →Point of Control: the price where the most volume traded over a period, and the level price tends to return to.
The Policy Interest Rate is the primary tool a country's central bank uses to manage the economy, representing the target interest rate at which commercial banks borrow and lend…
Read explanation →position sizingRisk & moneyMost traders obsess over entries and ignore the decision that controls risk: position size. How to size to volatility with the ATR method — not to hope.
Read explanation →PPIEconomic calendarProducer Price Index: it measures inflation at the factory gate, before it reaches the consumer.
Read explanation →premium and discountSmart Money (SMC)Premium and discount zones divide a price range based on its 50% equilibrium, indicating whether an asset is considered expensive or cheap, respectively, by SMC traders who aim to…
Read explanation →price interest pointFundamentalsEvery trader talks in pips, but almost nobody knows it's an acronym — Percentage in Point. What is a pip really, why is the yen the exception, and how does it become your risk plan?
Read explanation →profit and lossRisk & moneyTo calculate profit or loss, first determine your trade's pip value in the quote currency. Then, multiply this pip value by the number of pips gained or lost. Finally, convert…
Read explanation →profit splitFundamentalsThe advertised split isn't the whole story. How does a prop firm's profit split really work, and what fine print decides how much you actually take home?
Read explanation →prop firmFundamentalsProp firms don't fail you for trading badly — they fail you for breaking their risk rules. Here's what actually decides whether you clear the challenge: drawdown, position size and discipline.
Read explanation →Purchasing Managers IndexEconomic calendarThe Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is a monthly economic indicator built from surveys of purchasing managers in a country's manufacturing and services sectors, tracking new orders, production, inventories, supplier deliveries,…
Read explanation →Q
quantitative easingCentral banksQuantitative Easing (QE) and Tightening (QT) are monetary policy tools where central banks manipulate the money supply by buying or selling government bonds and other financial…
Read explanation →George Soros's hedge fund. In September 1992, with about $15 billion under management, it shorted roughly $10 billion of sterling and reportedly made more than $1 billion on Black Wednesday.
R
A Dutch cooperative bank. It appears in our texts for its research on gold, central-bank demand and de-dollarization.
A raw account charges a commission; a standard one builds its cost into the spread. The cheaper one depends on the pair: the same $7 is 0.70 pips on EUR/USD and 1.10 on USD/JPY.
Read explanation →Royal Bank of Canada, a Canadian bank that goes by its initials. Its economists' notes on Canadian inflation and the Bank of Canada appear in our roundups.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand, New Zealand's central bank.
Read explanation →real volumeFundamentalsThe amount actually traded in a bar, in contracts or lots. Spot forex has no central exchange to record it; real forex volume is published by the BIS survey and by exchange-traded futures.
Read explanation →The twelve regional Federal Reserve Banks: Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, Dallas and San Francisco. Their presidents sit on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which sets US interest rates: the New York Fed president always votes, and four of the other eleven vote each year in rotation. A speech by a voting president, such as Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack in 2026, carries more weight in rate expectations.
Relative Strength Index, a momentum oscillator that moves between 0 and 100 by comparing recent gains with recent losses. Readings above 70 are read as overbought and below 30 as oversold; they are alert zones, not automatic signals.
Read explanation →required marginRisk & moneyMargin is the collateral held by your broker to keep a position open, calculated by dividing the trade's notional value by your account's leverage…
Read explanation →requoteFundamentalsA new price offered when the broker will not fill your order at the one you asked for. It only happens in some execution modes, such as Instant Execution in MetaTrader 5 (MT5).
Read explanation →Reserve Bank of AustraliaCentral banksReserve Bank of Australia, Australia's central bank.
Read explanation →How retail traders' open positions in a pair split between long and short, as published by aggregators that collect it from their users' accounts. It is usually read contrarian, since a heavily crowded side is the one squeezed if price keeps going, but that reading is not a proven predictor of direction.
Retail Sales measures the total revenue generated by all retail stores in a country over a specific period, typically a month. It includes sales of goods like cars, clothes, food…
Read explanation →Retail foreign exchange dealer: under the CFTC rules in 17 CFR Part 5, a firm that is, or offers to be, the counterparty to a retail forex transaction, with some exceptions set in the law. In the US, a retail forex account is held with an RFED or an FCM.
In 1983 Richard Dennis bet he could teach total beginners to trade like pros. He recruited the 'Turtles', gave them rules, and won — a lesson in systems and discipline.
Read explanation →risk per tradeRisk & moneyTo safeguard your capital and ensure long-term survival in the forex market, the 1% rule is the right default: risk no more than 1% of your account on any single trade. This disciplined…
Read explanation →risk-onGeopoliticsTwo labels for the market's mood. Risk-on: investors are willing to take risk, so money flows into stocks and growth-linked currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars, and the yen tends to weaken. Risk-off: fear takes over, and money moves to safe havens such as the US dollar, the Swiss franc, the yen and gold. Neither is an indicator with a number; traders apply them after reading several markets at once.
Read explanation →risk-reward ratioRisk & moneyThe risk-reward (R:R) ratio is a crucial metric comparing your potential profit to your potential loss on any given trade. Expressed as X:1, where '1' represents your defined risk…
Read explanation →risks of AI in tradingAIUsing Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Large Language Models (LLMs) in forex trading means leveraging these technologies as a co-pilot for advanced information processing…
Read explanation →S
S&P 500FundamentalsThe S&P 500 tracks 500 of the largest US companies and is the market’s main gauge of risk appetite — which is why forex traders watch it even though it is a stock index.
Read explanation →S&P Global: a financial information company (credit ratings, benchmarks and market data) that compiles purchasing managers' index (PMI) surveys for more than 40 countries. In the US it publishes manufacturing and services PMIs, with a preliminary flash estimate before the month ends.
A war headline hits and the dollar jumps while your AUD/USD sinks. That reflex has a name — the flight to safe havens. Here is the mechanism, not just the news.
Read explanation →Bank of Nova Scotia, a Canadian bank. Its FX strategy desk is among the most quoted in our daily roundups: yen, EUR/USD, sterling and the Canadian dollar.
The stage of an inflation shock in which wages and the prices firms set react to the inflation already seen. An energy shock first lifts prices directly and then indirectly, through production and transport costs; if workers and firms pass that on in wage and price setting, inflation becomes broader and more persistent, which is the risk central banks try to head off.
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the US regulator of securities markets. Its Regulation NMS holds the legal definition of an electronic communications network (ECN), written for stock markets.
The market is open 24/5, but the money moves in just a few windows. The session overlaps — above all London–New York — are where spreads tighten, volume spikes, and the cleanest trends form.
Read explanation →Tankers that carry oil from sanctioned producers such as Russia and Iran, often under opaque ownership and with transfers between ships at sea. Talk of the US easing sanctions on these vessels pushed WTI lower in Asian trade on 15 October 2026.
The difference between the price you asked for and the price your order was filled at. A stop order can slip; a limit order cannot, but it may not fill.
Read explanation →Smart Money ConceptsSmart Money (SMC)Smart Money Concepts (SMC) is a discretionary price-action framework popularised online, reframing classic support/resistance as zones where large institutional 'smart money'…
Read explanation →The December 1971 deal that realigned the leading currencies and raised the official gold price to $38 to save fixed exchange rates. Generalized floating began in March 1973.
Swiss National Bank, Switzerland's central bank.
Read explanation →A French bank, shortened to SocGen. It appears for two distinct reasons: its currency research and as the bank behind the 2008 Kerviel affair.
Oil production that can be brought online within 30 days and sustained for at least 90, in the EIA definition. Saudi Arabia has historically held the most; when it runs low, oil prices tend to carry a rising risk premium.
The same euro trades in two places: over the counter and on an exchange. Who is on the other side, who sets the price, and why does the futures quote not match spot?
Read explanation →A British bank focused on Asia, Africa and the Middle East. We quote it for its China forecasts.
The standard block a forex trade is measured in, counted in units of the base currency. A standard lot is 100,000 units, a mini lot 10,000 and a micro lot 1,000, and MetaTrader writes them as 1.00, 0.10 and 0.01. On EUR/USD with a USD account, a pip is worth $10, $1 and $0.10 respectively; metals and other symbols use their own contract size.
Read explanation →Stanley DruckenmillerLegendsEveryone remembers Soros and Black Wednesday. Few remember the strategist who actually sized the bet — and whose real lesson is about how much you risk when you're right.
Read explanation →Japan's national statistics office, part of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. It publishes the consumer price index, including a preliminary index for Tokyo's 23 wards.
A currency intervention the authorities carry out without announcing it at the time. Japan bought yen this way on 21 and 24 October 2022: the Ministry of Finance would not say whether it had acted, and its records later confirmed ¥6.35 trillion across the two days.
Read explanation →stop-lossRisk & moneyYour stop-loss should be strategically placed at a logical price point where your initial trading premise is invalidated, typically just beyond a key technical support or…
Read explanation →stops levelFundamentalsIn MetaTrader 5, the minimum distance, in points, from the current price inside which you cannot place a stop-loss, a take-profit or a pending order. The broker sets it per symbol.
Read explanation →STPFundamentalsStraight-through processing: an order passed from one system to the next with no human in between. In a broker's marketing it means your trade is offset with a liquidity provider; it is not a licence category.
Read explanation →Strait of HormuzGeopoliticsAround a fifth of the world's oil squeezes through one narrow strait. Threaten it, and crude spikes and currencies lurch. Here is how a choke point ripples into forex.
Read explanation →Summary of Economic ProjectionsCentral banksThe Fed’s set of officials’ projections for growth, unemployment, inflation and the policy rate, published four times a year with the March, June, September and December decisions. The dot plot is its interest-rate chart.
Read explanation →A Bank of Japan document released one to two weeks after each monetary policy meeting. Each Policy Board member and government representative summarises the opinions they presented, within a word limit, and the Governor edits the result. Markets read it for how close the board is to its next rate move.
Supply and demand zones are specific price areas on a chart where past institutional order flow created a sharp, imbalanced move, marking locations where buying or selling…
Read explanation →support and resistanceFundamentalsSupport and resistance are the price levels where a market has repeatedly stalled or reversed — the foundation almost every other technical tool is built on.
Read explanation →swapFundamentalsA swap, also known as rollover interest, is the interest a forex broker charges or pays a trader for holding a position open past the daily market close (usually 5 PM New York…
Read explanation →A swap spread is the gap between a government bond's yield and the swap rate for the same maturity. Swap rates track interbank borrowing costs rather than any one government's finances, so a bond whose yield rises further above swaps tells you investors want more compensation for that country's credit and fiscal risk. In euro-area debt it is usually quoted as the bond yield minus the swap rate, the asset swap spread.
Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, the messaging network banks use to instruct international payments. Cutting a country off from it is among the harshest financial sanctions there are.
The Swiss franc's nickname is the easy part. Why the world runs to this currency when the world catches fire is the part worth knowing.
Read explanation →T
The Bank of Japan's quarterly Short-term Economic Survey of Enterprises in Japan. Its business conditions index is the share of firms that call conditions "favorable" minus the share that call them "unfavorable"; the reading for large manufacturers is the one most often quoted.
In 2013 the Fed only hinted it would slow its bond buying, and the 10-year yield jumped from 1.66% to 2.98%. What was the taper tantrum, and why did the rupee lose 22%?
Read explanation →Economics department of Canada’s Toronto-Dominion Bank. Its weekly report, The Weekly Bottom Line, is quoted in our weekly wraps on the Fed and the Bank of Canada. It is not TD Securities, the bank’s markets division.
Markets division of Canada’s Toronto-Dominion Bank. It publishes currency forecasts that appear in the daily roundups.
Traders in Financial Futures, the COT report covering financial contracts — currencies, bonds, indices — splitting participants into four categories.
No, it's not the fruit. The New Zealand dollar (NZD) is called the 'kiwi' after the national bird on its coin — and it's a carry-trade star the CTS tracks.
Read explanation →the market never sleepsFundamentalsThere's no single building where forex trades — which is why the market runs 24 hours a day, five days a week, handing off around the world like a relay.
Read explanation →tick sizeFundamentalsThe minimum step a symbol's price can move, set by the broker in each symbol's specification. In MetaTrader 5 it can equal the point or be larger, and the tick value is what one such step is worth.
Read explanation →tick volumeFundamentalsThe number of price updates in a bar, which is what MetaTrader shows as volume on spot forex. It tracks activity, not the amount traded or the depth of the market.
Read explanation →Tokyo sessionFundamentalsTokyo is the quietest FX session by average range — and the likeliest to produce the week’s most violent hour. Why does the tail risk live in the Asian window?
Read explanation →The difference between the value of a country's exports and imports of goods and services over a period. There is a deficit when it imports more than it exports, and a surplus in the opposite case. The United States publishes it monthly in its international trade report, from the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA); Canada publishes its figures through Statistics Canada.
A country announces tariffs and the other side's currency drops the next day. Why does a tax on imports move the forex market? The mechanism is more double-edged than it looks.
Read explanation →trading botsFundamentalsThe short answer: it depends. Here is what a bot does well, what it does badly, and why 90% of the ones you see on social media are a trap.
Read explanation →trailing stopRisk & moneyA stop-loss that follows the price in your favour and never moves back. In MetaTrader 5 it starts moving once the profit in points reaches the level you set.
Read explanation →US government debt sold by the Treasury: bills mature in up to a year, notes in two to ten years and bonds in 20 or 30 years. The 10-year note's yield is the benchmark for US borrowing costs. New debt is sold at auction, and when an auction clears at a lower yield than the market was trading just before it, demand was strong.
The tension facing the issuer of a reserve currency: the world needs more of it abroad, and the more there is, the less credible the issuer's promises about it become. It undermined the Bretton Woods system.
A measure of underlying inflation that the Reserve Bank of Australia watches. It orders the price changes of every CPI item, trims away the 15% with the smallest and the 15% with the largest, and averages the middle 70%, so a few extreme moves do not drive the reading.
U
unemployment rateEconomic calendarThe Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total labor force that is out of work but actively seeking a job, giving a snapshot of labor-market health and the broader…
Read explanation →United Overseas Bank, a Singaporean bank. It shows up in the daily roundups because its team publishes research notes on Asian currencies.
The US Department of Labor (DOL): the federal department in charge of labor matters. Its Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the monthly jobs report, and the department itself publishes the weekly unemployment insurance claims every Thursday at 8:30 a.m. New York time.
The US government department in charge of federal finances and debt. It also leads US currency policy: when the United States intervenes in the currency market, the Treasury Secretary leads the decision, usually alongside the Federal Reserve, and the New York Fed carries out the trades.
The most uneven day in the series: a best hour worth 3.5 times the worst, and 67% of the range inside four hours. The only major with both currencies in one time zone.
Read explanation →USD/CHFFundamentalsThe calmest of the five majors: a 53-pip median and 24% of days under 40. Its −0.83 against EUR/USD is the strongest inverse relationship in the series.
Read explanation →USD/JPYFundamentalsThe only pair in the series with two peak hours: at 00:00 UTC it delivers 96% of its best hour. A 112-pip median, measured on 521 days of our own data.
Read explanation →Coordinated Universal Time, the reference clock with no daylight saving time. Our session times and data are given in UTC.
V
value areaIndicatorsThe price band where, by convention, about 70% of a session's volume traded. Its edges are the value area high (VAH) and the value area low (VAL).
Read explanation →The day a currency trade is settled. Spot forex settles two business days after the trade, and the value date rolls forward at the New York close; because of the weekend, the Wednesday rollover carries three days of swap.
Vanuatu Financial Services Commission, the financial regulator of Vanuatu. It is an offshore licence: the European and British retail protections do not reach an account opened under it.
CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) Volatility Index, known as the "fear gauge": it measures expected volatility on the S&P 500.
Read explanation →volatilityFundamentalsHow far price moves over a period, regardless of direction. It is usually measured by the range of each bar or by the ATR.
Read explanation →volume imbalanceSmart Money (SMC)Two consecutive candles whose bodies do not overlap while their wicks still do, leaving a band between the bodies that only the wicks traded through. It is rare on hourly forex charts, because forex trades around the clock and a candle usually opens where the previous one closed: on our 2021-2026 hourly data, 96% of candles opened less than one pip from the previous close.
Read explanation →volume profileIndicatorsA chart of how much volume traded at each price level, rather than over time. Wide areas mark prices the market accepted; thin ones, prices it rejected.
Read explanation →Volume-weighted average price: the average price of a period, with each price weighted by the volume traded at it. On a spot forex chart, the weights are ticks, not money.
W
Warsh FedFundamentalsA new Fed chair, a hawkish first meeting and a dollar at multi-month highs: why are markets now pricing rate hikes, not cuts, and what does it mean for every FX trade?
Read explanation →Wells Fargo, a US bank. Its economists' week-ahead previews and forecasts for US data appear in our weekly wraps.
An Australian bank. In our texts it enters through the Westpac Leading Index, a leading indicator of the Australian economy, not through its currency research.
For years the yen carry trade pays like clockwork — then wipes out months of gains in days. The story behind forex's darkest nickname, and the risk lesson inside it.
Read explanation →X
XAG/USDFundamentalsA $2.73 median day, almost twice gold as a percentage, and a "normal" that is still falling. Measured on 130 days of our own price history.
Read explanation →ISO codes for gold and silver: XAU is one ounce of gold and XAG one of silver, quoted as if they were currencies.
A $91 median day, 56% of the range in the London–New York overlap and a second peak in Asia. Measured on 130 days of our own price history.
Read explanation →Y
yield curveCentral banksThe yield curve is a graph plotting the interest rates, or yields, of government bonds against their different maturities, from short-term to long-term, while real yields are…
Read explanation →Z
Germany's ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment, published monthly since December 1991 by the ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research in Mannheim. It asks about 350 analysts at banks, insurers and large companies for their six-month expectations for the German economy, and is reported in points as a balance: positive when optimists outnumber pessimists. The same survey gives a separate balance for the current economic situation in Germany.